Ukrajinski BDP je za četvrtinu niži nego što je bio pre ruske invazije.
Autor : Bilten.rs , Izvor : Tanjug
Nedavni napadi na infrastrukturu umanjili su prognoze rasta i Ukrajina ima mesec dana da izbegne neizvršenje obaveza, piše list Ekonomist.
Prema pisanju lista, malo je verovatno da se postigne novi dogovor sa poveriocima za otplatu duga pre 1. avgusta, kada ističe aktuelni sporazum.
Ukoliko Ukrajina ne bi platila, to bi dugoročno moglo predstavljati katastrofu za oporavak zemlje, navodi se u članku.
Kijev je u junu predložio kreditorima da smanje trenutnu vrednost ukrajinskih dugova za 60 odsto, a kreditori su ponudili 22 odsto. Ali čak i sa tim predlogom, Ukrajina bi uspela “samo da sastavi kraj s krajem”.
Do kraja godine, odnos duga prema BDP-u će se približiti cifri od 94 odsto.
U nedostatku dogovora, Ukrajina ima dve opcije: ponovo pregovarati o produženju zamrzavanja otplate duga ili proglasiti neizvršenje obaveza.
Takođe, vlasnici obveznica ne veruju da će im oporavak Ukrajine dugoročno doneti profit i omogućiti im da otplate dugove ako ih sada otpišu, navodi Ekonomist.
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